How to Promote Affordable, Reliable Electricity

A Compilation of RMI Research and Analysis for US State Policymakers

As electricity demand grows to power new loads like surging manufacturing, data centers driven by the advent of AI, and electrified buildings and vehicles, and old infrastructure is set to retire, we must build out the US electricity system in ways that keep energy costs affordable for customers while reliably keeping the lights on. RMI research and analysis over many years and several workstreams — as collected here — has underscored five key findings that can support an affordable, reliable, resilient, and secure power system.

  1. Clean energy portfolios can provide affordable — and reliable — power.
  2. Clean energy has helped keep the lights on during extreme weather events.
  3. Improving interconnection and transmission offer critical opportunities to improve reliability.
  4. Regulatory actions and utility business model innovation can help increase affordability and reliability as the grid grows and modernizes.
  5. Federal funding exists to support these solutions.

Key findings, with links to more information, are summarized below.

Clean energy portfolios can provide affordable – and reliable – power.

Since 2018, RMI analysis has shown that portfolios of carbon-free resources — including wind, solar, battery storage, energy efficiency, and demand flexibility — can be more affordable and just as reliable as coal- and gas-fired power plants. The experience of leading utilities provides real-world evidence supporting this analysis.

Today, clean, renewable sources are cheaper than 99 percent of proposed gas plants when taking full advantage of the tax credits in the Inflation Reduction Act. These clean sources also avoid fuel price volatility in American household energy bills. Demand-side resources — including energy efficiency, distributed solar and batteries, demand-side management, and “virtual power plants” that compensate customers for their energy conservation efforts — are important elements of clean energy portfolios. These resources can play a central role in maintaining reliability and can often be deployed more quickly and at lower cost than new supply-side resources.

Clean repowering — the opportunity to connect clean energy resources at the point of interconnection for existing fossil plants — can reduce the time needed to connect new projects to the grid from an average of five years to less than one year. With the current federal tax credits and programs in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), clean repowering can unlock 250 GW of clean energy that saves customers $12.7 billion per year.

Clean energy has helped keep the lights on during extreme weather events.

Extreme weather is testing the reliability of the grid, but clean energy has demonstrated its ability to support the grid during these events.

For example, abundant wind energy helped keep the lights on around the country during Winter Storm Elliot in December 2022, when coal and gas failed. These clean resources could have done even more with additional wind turbines and interregional transmission. In Summer 2023, record clean energy generation levels helped the grid meet higher demand, including preventing rolling blackouts during the hottest summer on record.

On the other hand, fossil fuel generation has proven costly and unreliable. For example, the independent market monitor in Texas found that using coal and gas plants to address reliability issues has cost households and consumers over $1 billion. And fossil fuel infrastructure failures contributed to major outages in Texas in 2021 and California in 2020.

With this evidence and more, RMI has debunked the myths that renewables are the primary cause of winter outages. In fact, major winter reliability risks relate to fossil generators and the reliability of fuel supply. This is, in part, because fossil resource reliability has historically been overestimated. Importantly, while renewables are variable, they are predictably variable unlike unexpected fossil-powered outages.

Improving interconnection and transmission offer critical opportunities to improve reliability.

Unlocking interconnection queues and new transmission investment is key to improving national grid reliability and taking full advantage of our country’s solar and wind potential. Hundreds of billions of dollars of new renewable energy projects are currently waiting in line to connect to the grid, while the power grid is rapidly approaching its capacity to transport power at the scale needed to keep the lights on.

Extreme weather events have proven the critical role of interregional transmission and the opportunity to connect excess clean energy generation to regions at risk of blackouts.

As it stands, the US power grid is fragmented and lacks a cohesive plan, resulting in several challenges and associated solutions. These solutions include those that enhance grid efficiency and bring clean energy projects online faster, and those that expedite planning for expanded interregional transmission:

As we take steps to improve interconnection processes and accelerate transmission development, technologies and upgrades that increase the capacity of existing transmission lines can help bring more clean energy online faster to meet new loads, at a lower cost than standard grid upgrades. In PJM, for example, GETs could help bring 6.6 GW of clean energy online by 2027 saving $1 billion per year in production costs. And as investments in transmission are prioritized, it’s important to invest in the right solutions on the interregional and regional scale.

Regulatory actions and utility business model innovation can help increase affordability and reliability, as the grid grows and modernizes.

There are several ways that regulators can change utility incentive systems to encourage utilities to take advantage of federal funding and maximize affordability, reliability, and equity benefits for customers. Potential reforms include performance-based regulation to restructure utility incentives (including performance incentive mechanisms [PIMs], multi-year rate plans [MYRPs], capex/opex equalization [such as totex ratemaking], and revenue decoupling), all-source procurements,  and fuel-cost pass-through reform.

Strategies include several short-term and long-term solutions to high winter energy costs due to high fossil fuel prices and cold weather, and strategies to address the outsized energy burden of low-income communities.

Importantly, fossil fuels are volatile in price based on extreme weather, geopolitical conflicts, and other factors, and these volatile fuel costs are usually passed through completely to customers, discouraging good fuel cost management. Several strategies exist to address these misaligned incentives.

Federal funding can support transformative investments to improve reliability while keeping costs down.

The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and other related federal policies and programs provide hundreds of billions of dollars of federal investment that can support the affordability and reliability solutions identified above.

The IRA alone includes dozens of programs and tax incentives that can promote clean, reliable, and affordable power that can be incorporated into utility investment plans.

In particular, the IRA’s Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment program presents an opportunity to reinvest in energy communities while saving customers money and accelerating the transition to a clean and reliable power grid.

Opportunities exist across the country to leverage IRA incentives and save customers money — with benefits from Clean Repowering alone totaling an average of $12.7 billion per year for the next 10 years.