Capturing the Benefits of Industrial Decarbonization for Houston and Beyond
Understanding and quantifying the economic growth and emissions reduction benefits of industrial decarbonization to the Houston region.
Clean Industrial Hubs/Clusters – A Regional Approach
Texas has an opportunity to lead the new era of clean industrial development.
Texas has a long history of energy leadership. The state’s decarbonization journey began two decades ago with early investments in renewable energy leading Texas to be the number one producer of wind power in the United States. Looking to the future, Texas is forecasted to produce 50 percent of the clean hydrogen that will be made in the United States by 2050. In addition to climate benefits, clean industries in Texas can create more than half a million jobs and spur $100 billion in investments in the state by 2050. Clean industrial projects, including clean hydrogen and derivates, is the next frontier for economic, energy, and climate leadership.
Existing industry and heavy transport in Texas, which includes cement, steel, aluminum, chemicals, aviation, shipping, and heavy-duty trucking, accounts for 23 percent of US industrial greenhouse gas emissions, the highest of any state. Meeting our collective global climate goals requires building more than 700 net-zero industrial projects by 2030 and purchasing 7 million zero-emissions trucks by 2030. Most of these projects will occur in regional industrial hubs where the physical, social, regulatory and economic infrastructure is already in place to support rapid scale up — places like Texas.
That’s why RMI and the Mission Possible Partnership, in collaboration with the Bezos Earth Fund, are working to create a clean industrial hub in Texas that accelerates production of clean fuels, like sustainable aviation fuels and clean hydrogen, and advances net-zero projects to secure a clean industrial future and continued economic growth for the aviation, chemicals, cement, shipping, and steel sectors in the region.
Texas is the nation’s energy powerhouse, with nearly a third of the country’s refining and petrochemical processing capacity, the largest electricity generation capacity in the United States, thousands of miles of pipelines, a highly skilled workforce, and business-driven policy environment.
Texas is also the number one industrial emitter in the United States. In 2022, more than 300 industrial facilities in Texas released more than 330 million metric tons of CO2 (MTCO2e), 39 percent of the state’s emissions.
The good news is that Texas is also home to the majority of proposed industrial decarbonization and clean fuel development projects in the United States. As of November 2024, there were more than 70 public proposed or active decarbonization projects in Texas spanning aviation, cement, chemicals, and trucking. These projects will need to mobilize more than $100 billion in CapEx and could receive $70 billion in public funding including tax credits for hydrogen. Decarbonizing existing industries and developing new clean industries and technologies in Texas can create 530,000 jobs cumulatively in the Houston region by 2050.
In addition to the economic benefits, investments in electrification and energy efficiency measures could reduce Scope 1 emissions (direct emissions) by 61 percent, or 52 million MTCO2e, by 2050. Additional investments in hydrogen utilization and carbon capture and storage (CCS) could enable the Houston region to reach net-zero by 2050. These investments not only promise economic growth but also position Texas as a global leader in industrial decarbonization.
By capitalizing on its successful leadership in the energy sector, coupled with its hydrogen and renewable power assets and fast-growing energy and climate tech startup ecosystem, Texas can pioneer groundbreaking solutions and technologies that will enable it to lead the charge on industrial decarbonization.
Clean industrial hubs bring together project developers, policymakers, financial institutions, and community-based organizations to support regional clusters of industrial decarbonization projects.
In the Texas Gulf Coast, RMI and the Mission Possible Partnership focus on accelerating low-carbon solutions for heavy industry. We provide technical assistance to first-of-a-kind (FOAK) decarbonization projects and collaborate with policymakers, investors, and community groups to develop the foundation needed for long-term success.
Texas is forecasted to produce 50 percent of the clean hydrogen that will be made in the United States by 2050. We developed value chain economic analyses for hydrogen, green ammonia, green methanol, and SAF supply chains to help companies advance proposed clean hydrogen projects. We also evaluated power procurement risks and challenges for a hypothetical green hydrogen project in Texas and proposed policy and market-based paths forward to enable green hydrogen projects in the state.
Texas’ legacy of refining presents an opportunity to produce SAF and other low-carbon fuels. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) can reduce aviation emissions by between 70 and 90 percent relative to conventional jet fuel. We analyzed how different SAF production pathways including HEFA (hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids) and PtL (power-to-liquids), could help two companies reduce carbon intensity of their finished SAF product. Additionally, we conducted a pioneering study to evaluate the willingness-to-pay and determine a green premium for SAF and SAF Certificates. This will help SAF project developers build up financial models that speed up site selections and final investment decision.
Green shipping and zero-emissions ports are essential for reducing pollution from international marine transport and goods movement. We convened stakeholders to evaluate the feasibility of a green shipping corridor between Houston and Rotterdam. Additionally, we produced a supply-demand outlook and a regulatory outlook for the supply market (United States) and demand market (European Union) for e-methanol. Through this work, we created marginal abatement cost curves for offtake agreements, where energy producers and shipping customers agree on pricing structures and timelines for buying clean shipping fuels.
Just 11 cement plants in Texas emitted more than 8 million MTCO2e in 2023. Low-emissions and net-zero cement and concrete are essential for decarbonizing existing industry in Texas. We developed an integrated site decarbonization framework utilizing three key levers: alternative fuels, supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), and carbon capture and storage (CCS), to help a cement plant produce net-zero emissions cement and concrete.
Investments in near-zero steel can revitalize industry in Texas. We showed a company how they could cost competitively produce using green hydrogen to reduce emissions.
Policy support and public funding are critical to enabling industrial decarbonization. We created the Decarbonizing Industry Resource Tool (DIRT) to help project developers, industrial companies, and investors discover the state and federal financial incentives that may apply to their industry and heavy transport projects. We also mapped how companies secure permits for constructing clean industrial projects and identified solutions to commonly occurring permitting roadblocks.
Getting access to private capital is critical to bring clean industrial projects from planning phase to final investment decision (FID), and ultimately to construction. In Texas, we convened financial institutions and project finance experts to identify solutions to barriers to reaching FID for hydrogen and SAF We developed the Industrial Decarbonization Investor database which catalogues more than 200 institutions that have expressed interest in and/or finalized transactions related to industrial decarbonization.
Midstream infrastructure — including electric transmission lines, hydrogen pipelines, and energy storage — is essential for clean energy to reach industrial facilities. Texas’ vast network of existing infrastructure presents an opportunity for accelerating the energy transition. We defined infrastructure requirements for the transport of clean energy materials within the US Gulf Coast and for export to European markets.
Electrification and energy efficiency can reduce industrial emissions in Texas by 60 percent. We analyzed future decarbonization pathways for heavy industry and the impacts on the electric grid from industrial electrification.
Equitable and inclusive two-way community engagement is essential in decarbonization efforts by clean energy and infrastructure project developers. We created practical frameworks and tools to help project developers and community organizations collaborate on Community Benefits Plans and streamline permitting while ensuring local communities share in the project’s value. We created the S.A.M. (Stakeholder Analysis and Mapping) tool to support effective stakeholder management for inclusive, two-way community engagement and responsive benefits.
RMI and the Mission Possible Partnership are developing resources including reports, articles, and webinars to support project developers, policymakers, financial institutions, and community-based organizations in advancing industrial decarbonization projects in Texas and beyond.
Understanding and quantifying the economic growth and emissions reduction benefits of industrial decarbonization to the Houston region.
A “hydrogen finance roadshow” highlighted five expectation gaps between developers and financial institutions — as well as four market-based ways to bridge them.
As the deadline for final tax credit guidance approaches, the real work of project development begins
A recent RMI survey shows airlines, logistics service providers, and corporate customers are willing to pay a green premium for SAF and SAFc and express preference for shorter contracts and waste-based feedstock.
RMI’s webinar uncovers current trends and challenges in the industrial decarbonization space, describes our suite of resources to address some of the biggest challenges to technology implementers and explains how they can be used by project developers and startups to reach commercial deployment and final investment decision (FID) more quickly.
Case studies and best practices from advising developers of the DOE’s $7 billion Regional Clean H2Hubs program, plus lessons for future clean energy projects.
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According to project finance experts, US-based sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) producers will face three main dilemmas when financing commercial-scale projects in 2024: what feedstock to use, whether to get government loan guarantees, and how to de-risk operations.
Understanding the goals behind the Inflation Reduction Act’s industrial tax credit rules is essential to maximizing their impact, both at the firm and the market level.
The US Department of the Treasury issued guidance on the federal hydrogen tax credit 45V on December 22, 2023, and RMI hosts this webinar analyzing the guidance and its overarching implications for the larger clean hydrogen industry.
Heavy industry represents 30 percent of US CO2 emissions. And while decarbonizing industry is difficult, three exciting industrial developments are now taking place in the United States that will help speed progress.
A report evaluating future electricity demand in support of HETI’s work to develop a roadmap to a sustainable, resilient, and low-carbon electricity grid for the Houston region.
Key Insights from US Clean Industrial Hubs.
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