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Maritime Decarbonization

Charting a Course to Shipping Decarbonization

Shipping is the backbone of international trade and the global economy, responsible for transporting over 80% of the world’s goods. However, it is lagging on its decarbonization journey compared to other hard-to-abate industries, accounting for nearly 3% of current global GHG emissions. If decarbonization efforts fail in their scale and purpose, shipping emissions could grow by 50-250% by mid-century.

The inherent scale, complexity, and cross-border nature of international shipping create additional hurdles to accelerate the pace of reducing the emissions intensity of transporting goods overseas. Shipping is heavily reliant on the dirtiest of all fuels: heavy fuel oil, which has a comparative low cost that doesn’t take into account its impact on the ecosystem and the growing transition risks. Efforts to promote the adoption of cleaner technologies, such as low-emission fuels, require the mobilization and coordination of local and transnational industry frontrunners and policymakers. Further, shipping’s cross-border nature presents challenges to nations and states working to design and enforce regulations that encourage transparent, reliant, and verified interventions to reduce emissions and other environmental impacts.

In response to the growing emissions projections of the shipping sector, in 2023, member states of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) unanimously set a target for net-zero emissions by 2050 and pledged to increase the uptake of zero or near-zero GHG emission fuels and/or energy sources to at least 5%, striving for 10%, by 2030.

RMI is working with organizations across geographies and industries to build upon this momentum, mobilizing efforts to enable a clean, prosperous, zero-carbon future for the maritime sector.

50-250%

Shipping emissions could increase by as much as 50% - 250% by 2050 if the industry continues business as usual.

3%

Decarbonizing shipping could decrease global GHG emissions by 3%.

2-3x

2-3X is the cost premium for zero-emission fuels.

Our Theory of Change

By collaborating closely with key stakeholders across the shipping value chain, we aim to drive the decarbonization of global shipping through systems thinking and market-based interventions. Our team works with organizations around the globe to create solutions that reduce global shipping emissions, support cleaner fuel adoption, and ensure an inclusive, sustainable future for the industry as well as opportunities for emerging economies to participate in a decarbonized maritime economy.

To leverage local and regional efforts and catalyze industry momentum for accelerating decarbonization, our theory of change is deployed through the work of our four pillars:

Shipping corridor

Green Shipping Corridors

Establishing dedicated routes using scalable zero-emission fuels by bridging information and financial gaps to have a sustainable and feasible supply of green ocean transport services.
Port infrastructure

Maritime Port Fuel Supply

Working with global ports to develop strategies and infrastructure to support the production and bunkering of low-emissions fuels, enabling a cost-effective transition away from fossil fuels.
Maritime system

Maritime Book and Claim

Launching a market-based mechanism that enables cargo owners and freight forwarders to claim emission reductions from verified voyages using low-emission fuels.
Policy engagement

IMO Policy and Diplomacy

Informing and fostering the design and enforcement of policies that set clear emissions reduction targets and ensure a just, equitable, and timely energy transition in the shipping industry.

Green Shipping Corridors

RMI is accelerating the deployment of vessels running on zero-emission fuels this decade through the development of green shipping corridors. These are shipping routes between two major port hubs on which ships can travel with low-emissions fuels, principally green hydrogen and its derivatives ammonia and methanol. Alongside the Mærsk Mc-Kinney Møller Center for Zero Carbon Shipping, RMI released a handbook to help ports, shipping companies, fuel producers, financiers, and governments start developing green shipping corridors. With an eye toward Europe, RMI explored the role that green shipping corridors could play as the region looks to increase its supply of green hydrogen, and joined the Transatlantic Clean Hydrogen Trade Coalition (H2TC) in its mission to encourage and enable the first shipment of clean hydrogen from the United States to Europe by 2026. Expanding to other geographies, RMI conducted a feasibility study on establishing a dry bulk trade green shipping corridor between Louisiana and Japan.

Maritime Port Fuel Supply

A stable and accessible fuel supply is essential to encourage ship owners to invest in vessels that run on low-emissions fuels. Similarly, fuel producers and ports require clear signals of growing demand to justify investment in low-carbon fuel production and bunkering infrastructure. RMI is addressing this supply-demand gap by enhancing the maritime sector’s understanding of green ammonia and methanol cost and trade dynamics. This helps ports and bunkering companies develop sourcing strategies, fuel producers identify ports to target for business development, and policymakers understand and leverage economic opportunities associated with participation in the green maritime fuel economy. As part of this work, RMI, through strategic collaborations with organizations like the Global Maritime Forum and initiatives like Mission Innovation, has outlined strategies for ports to become first movers in providing green methanol and ammonia bunkering. In addition, we support the development of two zero-emission maritime fuel export hubs in the Global South by providing techno-economic analysis and stakeholder engagement capabilities.

Maritime Book and Claim

Cargo owners are willing to pay more for premium, zero-emission shipping services, but are struggling to access them at the scale and timeline required to meet their climate ambitions and commitments. RMI and the Mærsk Mc-Kinney Møller Center for Zero Carbon Shipping (MMMCZCS) designed a Maritime Book and Claim System that aims to enable cargo owners to signal their demand for transparent and credible emission reductions, supporting frontrunners in the adoption of zero-emissions shipping fuels. By decoupling fuel attributes from the physical value chain, book and claim enables transactions of the fuel’s environmental attributes, ensuring that information is verified, reflects life cycle emissions, and enables cargo owners to influence the pace at which zero-emissions fuels are being deployed and adopted. RMI and MMMCZCS collaborated with the Zero Emission Maritime Buyers Alliance (ZEMBA) and Hapag-Lloyd, among other frontrunners, to pilot the Maritime Book and Claim prior to launching the finalized registry: Katalist.

IMO Policy and Diplomacy Engagement

RMI is building on its existing relationships with leading green hydrogen producers and maritime stakeholders to garner momentum and showcase to policy makers that industry is ready and willing to invest in e-fuels if the right regulatory framework is in place. Meeting the IMO’s decarbonization goals is only possible through the use of Scalable Zero Emissions Fuels (SZEFs) such as hydrogen-derived methanol and ammonia. Acknowledging this, RMI, the University College London, and the UN High Level Champions have established joint commitments to define ambitious, actionable interventions and investments needed to support the adoption of hydrogen-derived fuels and achieve zero emissions by 2050. RMI also facilitates a Green Fuels For Green Shipping network, hosting a series of roundtables to update industry on the status of IMO negotiations and various policy measures to support their business strategies of first movers in the e-fuel ecosystem.

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