A Caribbean Regional Transition Scenario

In the Caribbean, the energy challenge lies in replacing and upgrading the aging, inefficient, and often unaffordable diesel-based energy models to systems that are evolvable, resilient, and affordable. Although the Caribbean is host to many successful, first-of-their-kind renewable energy projects, the pace and progress of the transition have been slow across the region. Despite some commercial interest, very few clean energy projects are brought to the market for investment.

As we enter the second half of the decisive decade, the pace at which these transitions occur is crucial, ensuring the continuity of essential services and fostering sustainable economic growth. This is particularly critical in a region where sea level rise, intensifying storms, and changing weather patterns are already impacting ecosystems, infrastructure, and livelihoods.

2025 is a pivotal year, offering opportunities to accelerate transition planning. Strong political leadership with support from partners is crucial, particularly as countries revise their Nationally Determined Contributions ahead of COP30. Governments must continue to set ambitious targets and create enabling environments through robust policies and transparent regulatory frameworks.

This report aims to identify strategies for regional and global policymakers and energy leaders to accelerate the just and equitable transition to renewable energy in the Caribbean. It serves as an actionable toolkit for countries to leverage in their transition plans, laying out the opportunities and challenges inherent in the region’s transition. It highlights different transition pathways, drawing on case studies to analyze specific targets, technologies, investments, and milestones. It provides an analysis of the policy and regulatory frameworks, adaptation synergies, investment needs, and monitoring frameworks necessary to move toward an optimal transition pathway.